Preoperative factors predict prolonged length of stay, serious adverse complications, and readmission following operative intervention of proximal humerus fractures: a machine learning analysis of a national database

Abstract

Predictive models constructed using ML techniques demonstrated favorable discrimination and satisfactory-to-excellent performance in forecasting prolonged LOS and serious adverse complications occurring within 30 days of surgical intervention for proximal humerus fracture. Modifiable preoperative factors such as hematocrit and platelet count were identified as significant predictive features, suggesting that clinicians could address these factors during preoperative patient optimization to enhance outcomes. Overall, these findings highlight the potential for ML techniques to enhance preoperative management, facilitate shared decision-making, and enable more effective and personalized orthopedic care by exploring alternative approaches to risk stratification.

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