Explainable multimodal deep learning for predicting thyroid cancer lateral lymph node metastasis using ultrasound imaging

Abstract

Preoperative prediction of lateral lymph node metastasis is clinically crucial for guiding surgical strategy and prognosis assessment, yet precise prediction methods are lacking. We therefore develop Lateral Lymph Node Metastasis Network (LLNM-Net), a bidirectional-attention deep-learning model that fuses multimodal data (preoperative ultrasound images, radiology reports, pathological findings, and demographics) from 29,615 patients and 9836 surgical cases across seven centers. Integrating nodule morphology and position with clinical text, LLNM-Net achieves an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.944 and 84.7% accuracy in multicenter testing, outperforming human experts (64.3% accuracy) and surpassing previous models by 7.4%. Here we show tumors within 0.25 cm of the thyroid capsule carry >72% metastasis risk, with middle and upper lobes as high-risk regions. Leveraging location, shape, echogenicity, margins, demographics, and clinician inputs, LLNM-Net further attains an AUC of 0.983 for identifying high-risk patients. The model is thus a promising for tool for preoperative screening and risk stratification.

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