Discrepancies in ChatGPT’s Hip Fracture Recommendations in Older Adults for 2021 AAOS Evidence-Based Guidelines

Abstract

Background: This study aimed to assess the reproducibility and reliability of Chat-Based GPT (ChatGPT)’s responses to 19 statements regarding the management of hip fractures in older adults as adopted by the American Academy of Orthopaedic Surgeons’ (AAOS) evidence-based clinical practice guidelines. Methods: Nineteen statements were obtained from the 2021 AAOS evidence-based clinical practice guidelines. After generating questions based on these 19 statements, we set a prompt for both the GPT-4o and GPT-4 models. We repeated this process three times at 24 h intervals for both models, producing outputs A, B, and C. ChatGPT’s performance, the intra-ChatGPT reliability, and the accuracy rates were assessed to evaluate the reproducibility and reliability of the hip fracture-related guidelines. Regarding the strengths of the recommendation compared with the 2021 AAOS guidelines, we observed accuracy of 0.684, 0.579, and 0.632 for outputs A, B, and C, respectively. Results: The precision was 0.740, 0.737, and 0.718 in outputs A, B, and C, respectively. For the reliability of the strengths of the recommendation, the Fleiss kappa was 0.409, indicating a moderate level of agreement. No statistical differences in the strengths of the recommendation were observed in outputs A, B, and C between the GPT-4o and GPT-4 versions. Conclusion: ChatGPT may be useful in providing guidelines for hip fractures but performs poorly in terms of accuracy and precision. However, hallucinations remain an unresolved limitation associated with using ChatGPT to search for hip fracture guidelines. The effective utilization of ChatGPT as a patient education tool for the management of hip fractures should be addressed in the future.

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